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Hoo dat Simper

Joined: 1/4/01 Posts: 1060
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A few KenPom notes to tide us over

Bits of possible interest from

1. KenPom has a game-by-game MVP, so one player from the game (not from each team) gets the award. UVA has gotten an MVP for each of our wins. Check out the balance:
4 Ty Jerome
3 Kyle Guy
3 Devon Hall
3 Isaiah Wilkins
1 De’Andre Hunter
1 Nigel Johnson

(By contrast, Bagley has been the MVP for 7 of Duke’s last 11 games.)

So four of the starters are dividing up those MVP games evenly, and Hunter and Johnson have each earned one off the bench. Only Salt and Diakite are missing from the rotation players.

2. And that point is related to this one: KenPom organizes each team’s players by their usage rate. Since it’s a per-possession stat, it puts starters and reserves on the same playing field, and you can see how involved the players are in the endpoints of offensive possessions, and the results generally line up pretty well with what you’d think. But UVA’s system produces some weird results because of the way our players specialize. Here are the KenPom categorizations:

Major contributors (24-28% of possessions used): Guy and Hunter
Significant contributors (20-24%): Hall, Jerome, and Johnson
Role players (16-20%): Diakite, Huff, Anthony
Limited roles (12-16%): Wilkins
Nearly invisible: ( less than 12%): Salt

If you watch the team, you understand where those numbers are coming from, but the numbers offer a pretty stark illustration of how guard-dependent our starting lineup is. It’s also interesting to see how the offense becomes more balanced, for better or for worse, when Hunter or Diakite comes off the bench for Wilkins or (especially) Salt.

3. Hunter is drawing fouls at a strong rate (5.5/40 minutes), well above anybody else on the team. The stats support my eyeball sense that we haven’t had anybody so good at seeking and controlling contact in the lane since Anthony Gill. It’s a huge asset as we seek to break up the predictability of our offense.

4. Finally, KenPom tracks the national rank of players in many different categories. Our system tends to do better in placing people high in his overall player rankings (though not this year—we have nobody close to the top) than in individual categories. This year, the only players who are top-50 nationally in anything are Hall in free throw percentage (33rd) and Johnson in fouls committed per 40 minutes (14th-lowest).

All of this, to me, reinforces what we know in other ways: even more than usual, we’re watching a true team that thrives because players know their roles and create opportunities for one another.

[Post edited by Hoo dat Simper at 01/12/2018 4:48PM]

Posted: 01/12/2018 at 4:44PM


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Current Thread:
A few KenPom notes to tide us over -- Hoo dat Simper 01/12/2018 4:44PM
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